Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Syria


First of all, the best thing I have read about Syria was this article:
I strongly recommend reading it. It gives a great, high-level overview of the various factors in play. What I want to talk about though is the information in section 8, on why lines are drawn over chemical weapons, and if it makes sense.
I'm going to also link to the Wikipedia article on the Geneva Conventions, which also links to the Hague Conventions and the Geneva Protocol, which is actually where the bio-chemical issue came up:
There is a paradox here that is hard to work around. Part of how you get world wars is alliances between other countries; if one gets into trouble, it pulls the others in. These alliances can also be agreements to not attack each other, and to treat each other well.
So, it is entirely understandable that people who had been horrified by what the chlorine gas did at Ypres, and seeing that these weapons did more to terrorize civilians than it did to move the conflict closer to resolution one way or the other, would decide that it is reasonable to ban these weapons. It is reasonable, except then when you have someone violating it, then everyone who agreed it was bad is supposed to go to war.
That sounds bad, but you were already in a world of paradox when you set rules for humane war. My soldiers will kill your soldiers if we can, but then if they surrender we have to take good care of them. Being cruel to prisoners is evil, so that's valid, but it's still not exactly satisfying.
We probably feel best about World War II. The Holocaust needed to be stopped. However, if Hitler had only been killing his own people, instead of moving into other countries, would anyone have acted? Even with that, the US only joined in after a personal attack. Therefore genocide happened in Darfur, and Cambodia, and Rwanda, and large scale murder that might not technically be classified as genocide happens in China and Indonesia. You might see prosecution in the Hague eventually, but people don't really want to go to war for it.
And honestly, killing to stop death sounds like a losing proposition. It can be that they will kill more people than we will in order to stop it, or they are killing for worse reasons than we would have, and that's not completely invalid, but still, then we our losing our people to save theirs.
The problem when you get into discussions like this is suddenly everything sounds ugly. That we might care more about our soldiers than your civilians sounds petty, but there's something to it. If the side that was starting it cared about the lives on their side, that could really shrink the problem.
Sometimes we are actually really effective. Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait, that crossed a line, and it was resolved fairly quickly and easily, but much of the credit for the international cooperation there goes to Kuwaiti oil fields, making that matter more serious than chemical weapons being used on Kurds. There's some ugliness there, and some ugliness in how responsible the Western world is for the troubles in the Middle East and Africa based on colonialism.
Another interesting article I had read was from Laurie Penny, an English writer, after Cameron had failed to gather the votes for intervention in Syria.
Her article focused on the concern of an image problem, but that it's a false problem. They don't have the moral high ground, and people are becoming too aware of that. That is ultimately a good thing, but then what do you do? That for this specific instance Assad appears to be willing to surrender his chemical weapons is a miracle, and we should just be grateful for it.
On the question of do we need to punish the use of chemical weapons so that other people know not to use chemical weapons, I believe the answer is no. Anyone that you need to worry about for that is operating on a level where they are not going to care about what happened to the previous guy. Even if they do care, there are enough examples of people getting away with it that the one that does face censure is probably not going to make too much of an impression. That's the easiest question; it all gets worse from there.
After that it becomes "Do we care that terrible things are happening? Do we care enough to put resources into it? Is it our job? Can we intervene without making things worse? Can we get humanitarian aid distributed to the right people? And the answers are often discouraging.
So, I guess that makes this post really discouraging, and I feel bad about that, and about the lack of answers for what to do about these things. North Korea's Kim Jong Un starves his people and may have just executed a slew because his wife was jealous of his ex-girlfriend. Anyone want to go in?
I think there is an important point here, and I hope that will be the saving grace of this long and meandering post. The fact that there are no easy answers gives me sympathy for pretty much everyone, except for those who only criticize. There is that partisan thing going on, and that Fox News thing, but John Stewart addressed that pretty well, though I am not sure he gave John Kerry enough credit.
The other thing though is that when you have so many conflicting valid points, it requires a fairly sophisticated level of thinking. Anyone who is confident they know exactly what is right is probably ignoring multiple things. We need to get less comfortable with criticizing and more comfortable with critical thinking. We need to be able to put aside our own egos, both to be willing to put other needs above our own, but also to be able to accept that many things are beyond our power. That's true for individuals, for nations, and for groups of nations working together.
And, it requires good information. So, just as a reminder...
" I get that Fox opposes the Syria peace plan because its modus operandi is to foment dissent in the form of a relentless, irrational contrarianism to Barack Obama and all things Democratic to advance its ultimate objective of creating a deliberately misinformed body politic whose fear, anger, mistrust and discontent is the manna upon which it sustains its parasitic, succubus like existence, BUT... sorry, I blacked out for a second I was saying something?"

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