I
was watching a clip from Rachel Maddow recently. She was talking about a guy
who was in Romney’s press junket, and he had a prominent birther site, though
they were going with different rumors now, because you have to be pretty
die-hard, or Donald Trump, to still think the president was born in Kenya.
Anyway,
one thing that she said that was interesting was that the birther thing was
probably very comforting if you hate Obama—don’t worry; he’s not really the
president. In the same way, I think the bad information on the polls must have
been very comforting.
Okay,
I recently mentioned that I have seen a few firestorms on my Facebook page,
which is rare, but for my sister Maria it happens all the time. One of the
recent ones, and really, for her it was pretty tactful, was she asked if all of
the Romney victory parties scheduled for the weekend before the election
weren’t being a bit premature. That really drew a bitter response; how dare
she!
(The
thing is, even when she is really being a jerk, she usually has a point, and
this time was no exception.)
So,
that must have been very comforting for Romney supporters, and maybe it’s good
that they got their celebrating in before it would have been ridiculous. That’s
when they should have had the Boston Bay firework show.
The
problem with it is, of course, that then there is all the weeping and gnashing
of teeth later, and it hurts more because there was so much confidence going
in. It was confidence without cause.
Polling
is an imperfect science, but it wasn’t just Nate Silver who was showing a clear
advantage to Obama. Even with questions about the popular vote, even polls that
could not show Obama getting 270 still showed him with a big lead over Romney.
There
were still people listening to bad sources. The polls are skewed. They are
oversampling democrats. Actually, they ended up breaking down about as
expected, and if undersampling was an issue, it was more likely to go the other
way. Lots of younger voters use only cell phones, therefore are not getting
polled and they are more likely to vote liberal.
(My
household does not help, because we screen our calls and refuse to be polled.
Whether that is a more common trait among Republicans or Democrats I don’t
know, but it would be very difficult to determien by a telephone poll.)
I
have referred to the study that shows that watching Fox makes you less
informed, which is worth pondering, but it also makes you feel like you are
informed, and you are in fact the only one who really knows, because all of
those misguided others are being fooled by the mainstream media.
Guess
what! You cannot be more mainstream than Fox. They have a successful network,
both in terms of ratings and revenue. Of our local channels two are Fox
affiliates and honestly I think the CBS affiliate works with Fox for the local
news as well. Even the stations that are not officially affiliated with Fox are
influenced by them because of the ratings power. They’re on top.
Here’s
what happens when you fall for them. You believe that you are being
deliberately lied to about Benghazi, you know the president is going to throw
people under the bus, and then when he accepts responsibility you don’t see
leadership; you see trickery. You may even be embarrassed in a national debate.
And you don’t know about the many pro-America demonstrations that happened,
which were touching, and were good news.
You
think that the president not meeting with Netanyahu is a horrible insult, when
in fact he does need to be kept in check, his own government is frustrated with
him, and other Israeli officials have reiterated how supportive Obama has been
of Israel.
Also,
you believe in the apology tour.
There’s
a lot more, but finally you believe that Romney is going to win, and get all
smug about it, and then because you have this false view of the world, it looks
a lot worse, where it is not just a disappointing political outcome but the
beginning of the long slide of America in to the maw of Hell itself as atheist
pagan welfare queens who have a dozen each of abortions and kids use their free
phones to make fun of you losers with jobs while not ever saying the Pledge of
Allegiance.
But, if you think that, I have good news for you. You
are misinformed. Now don't you feel better?
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